Saturday, July 5, 2008

No more stocks. It's time to play commodities!

That's right. No more stocks or stock options. The markets have been beaten down and I'm done with stocks until this bear market ends (6-24 months I would guess).


Commodities are still Hot. High amounts of leverage can be used to trade Gold (CBOT mini and 100oz), Silver (CBOT mini), Corn, and Soy Meal. Leverage can be a double edged sword, but if used correctly, a trader can make large capitol gains each day.


A new indicator I found will help determine profitable entry and exit points.
I will demonstrate with a diagram below.




Product: Soy Meal

Chart: 1 minute with SMA 10 and SMA 18 (SMA=Simple Moving Average)

How to use it: Watch the SMA 10 (RED LINE) break above SMA 18 (BLUE LINE). Almost always trade in the direction of the SMA 10 beacause the upward divergence signals a new or continued up trend. The trade is exited at a profitable spike or closed out when the SMA 10 touches the 18 and heads under the 18.

Anticipation of the SMA 10 moving upward, right before the averages touch, is an even better time to go long. Anticipating too soon will become more speculative than trend following. The goal is to simply ride a trend and then exit at a profit, or set a trailing stop to protect profit.

The Sexiness of Soy Meal

The sexiness of futures is in the leverage. A $1.00 gain in Soy Meal translates into $1k of profit for each contract. Every .01=$10 which can magnify gains and losses, so it's important to have a good entry point.

Or if soy meal doesn't suit your fancy, look at CBOT mini silver, Gold, Corn, Wheat among many other commodities.

Next week I will be posting my P/L each day.
My profit target is set around $500-2000 a day.
Stay tuned.




Friday, June 20, 2008

Dow FALLS more than 200 points!

Ouch. This is a tough market for traders and investors.
Oil/natural gas is still profitable, as well as the oil/nat. gas companies.
Crazy speculative gains...

June has been a disappointing month. Gains are being erased and the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P are slumping.

Insiders at STX are selling their shares. I'm going to be following the trend and dump my STX shares. There will be better buying opportunities down the road. Thankfully I'm only down about 0.60 per share and I've hedged by selling my options.

I'm also holding these stocks (which most will be assigned because the options are ITM):

DSL
MBI
EGO
CPSL
HL
NYNY
PEIX
EP
WM

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Wall Street Warriors

This series has been a good source of entertainment...

Monday, June 16, 2008

Finally, a new gain to offset loss. STX running up.

STX is running back up after it hit support in the 20's. Partially attributed to the shorts covering and buying interest. I would expect it to test or break through resistance around 22. The pattern is displayed in the last couple of rallies.

Today's purchase:
10 contracts of June 22.50 STX @.10

If it continues to run up as shown on the chart, this option can reach $1.10, which would result in a $1.00 gain x 10 contracts (1000 shares). It's a good risk to reward in my opinion (certainly I am speculating, but not risking much).


4 more days of option trading for the month. Updates later.

Saturday, May 31, 2008

Phew, the week is over. There was too much doom and gloom, which was profitable for some things.

Along with options, I'll be shorting stocks. I've been keeping my eye on :

http://www.timothysykes.com/

Not related to options at all, but still helpful. More of a trading strategy...
Don't "invest" in penny stalks, short them after the pump and watch them dump.
Micro cap oil has been surging and is looking to collapse, more info next week...

I think PDO and MXC are way over bought.
Stay tuned...

Friday, May 23, 2008

SLAUGHTER OF OIL PIGS

I started shorting PDO (bullshit pumped penny stock) at the high of 21.82!

Need I say more?
Get shorting!
if you can find the shares...scottrade could only get me 100, wtf is that?

Updates later!

DJIA FALLING
S$P FALLING
NASDAQ FALLING

Thursday, May 22, 2008

OIL IS SURGING, WHAT NEXT?

I'm so sick of the hype. It's all speculation for the most part. Some oil stocks have already started to turn downwards...afterall, a company's stock can't double if the fundamentals don't change. Hype hype hype...

Let's wait and watch these dogs tumble, and when the time comes, short em!
Short term pull backs are expected, but I think crude will just keep climbing.

Don't take my word, read all about it
http://www.timothysykes.com/

Field petro corp.
http://finance.google.com/finance?q=fpp&hl=en
 
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